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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
A Favorite of 1, Read by 5, Owned by 2, Reviewed by 1, Quotes 8
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was....(more)
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Quotes from The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Read books are far less valuable than unread ones.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb : Gaia Child
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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We tend to treat our knowledge as personal property to be protected and defended.  It is an ornament that allows us to rise in the pecking order…we take what we know a little too seriously.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb : Gaia Child
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding of the world.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb : Gaia Child
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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We cannot truly plan, because we do not understand the future--but this is not necessarily a bad news. We could plan while bearing in mind such limitations. It just takes guts.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb : Gaia Child
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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It was hard to tell my friends, all hurt in some manner by the [stock market] crash, about this feeling of vindication. Bonuses at the time were a fraction of what they are today, but if my employer, First Boston, and the financial system survived until year-end, I would get the equivalent of a fellowship. This is sometimes called "f*** you money," which in spite of its coarseness, means that it allows you to act like Victorian gentleman, free from slavery. It is a psychological buffer: the capital is not so large as to make you spoiled-rich, but large enough to give you the freedom to choose a new occupation without excessive consideration of the financial rewards. It shields you from prostituting your mind and frees you from outside authority--any outside authority. (Independence is person-specific: I have always been taken aback at they high number of people in whom an astonishingly high income led to additional sycophancy as they became more dependent on their clients and employers and more addicted to making even more money.) While not substantial by some standards, it literally cured me of all financial ambition--it made me feel ashamed whenever I diverted time away from study for the pursuit of material wealth. Note that the designation f*** you corresponds to the exhilarating ability to pronounce that compact phrase before hanging up the phone.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb : Gaia Child
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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...maximize the serendipity around you.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb : Gaia Child
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Work hard, not in grunt work, but in chasing such opportunities and maximizing exposure to them. This makes living in big cities invaluable because you increase the odds of serendipitous encounters--you gain exposure to the envelope of serendipity

Nassim Nicholas Taleb : Gaia Child
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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It is my hope someday to see science and decision makers rediscover what the ancients have always known, namely that our highest currency is respect.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb : Gaia Child
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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